Diamond Radar Videos
Our own pre-update market calls, on video. Diamond Radar is the DiamondOps model that ranks which MLB The Show 26 live series cards are likely to change rating at the next roster update. Most of these videos walk through its board before an update lands. Once the update is out, each call is graded where that update’s archive has it. Want the tool behind them? Open Diamond Radar, read the Diamond Radar guide, or check its track record.
New shorts and videos land here automatically as they publish. Everything is also on @diamondops-rgl.
How to read a Diamond Radar call
Four numbers come up again and again in these videos. Here is what each one tells you, and what it does not.
- Diamond Radar score (0 to 100)
- How strongly the model expects a card’s overall to rise at the next major roster update. It ranks likelihood; it does not promise anything. Even the top of the scale misses often enough that we never call a card a lock.
- Tier jump (74 → 77, Bronze → Silver)
- The predicted change in overall, and whether it crosses a rarity line. Crossing a line moves a price the most, because quick-sell value and demand both step up with the color of the card.
- Buy price → target
- The price on the day the video was made, and where the model expects the card to trade if the call lands. Prices keep moving after we publish, so open the card’s live page before you buy anything you saw here.
- Graded afterwards
- After each major update we score the calls that update’s archive holds against what San Diego Studio actually did. A call that is not in that archive stays ungraded. The track record lists the calls that hit in each update, with the called and actual ratings, and keeps the score-band record: how often each band went up, against how often any card did.
What kinds of videos are here
- Pre-update boards. Short lists posted in the days before an update: the strongest reads, the cards crossing a tier, cards under 100 stubs, and flips with the most room. They come off the same board you can open yourself.
- The Diamond Radar Report. A longer rundown that sorts a week of calls by risk, from the top upgrade reads down to moonshots, blue-chip dips and penny stocks.
- Flyers. Long shots we label as gambles, not predictions: real upside, odds around a coin flip or worse. They have their own name so a long shot is never mistaken for a likely one.
- Follow-ups and grading. Videos made after an update that go back over what we said, the misses included.
- Walkthroughs. How the board works, column by column, for anyone opening it for the first time.
Where a video below has a note written for this page, it says why we made it, what the board was reacting to, and what to take from it. Where the call has been graded, the note says how it played out and links the graded update. Where YouTube has captions with real speech, the transcript is there to read. A video that has just been published shows without these until we write them.
The Diamond Radar feed
Newest first — market calls, flips, and shorts from @diamondops-rgl.
5 Cards Under 100 Stubs Before Tomorrow's Roster Update | MLB The Show 26
Short on stubs before Friday's roster update? These are the five cheapest cards on our Diamond Radar board right now — every one of them under 100 stubs. Most upgrade boards are full of cards you can't afford. That's not a coincidence: they're ranked by how many stubs you'd make, so an expensive card always wins even when a cheap one has a stronger signal. Spencer Torkelson has the strongest signal on our entire board — 91 out of 100 — and he's never made a board all week, because 71 stubs can't outrank 1,700. So we built this one differently. Here's the board: 1. Spencer Torkelson — 74 to 77, Bronze to Silver. 67 stubs, target 138. 2. Samy Natera Jr. — 63 to 66, Common to Bronze. 20 stubs, target 34. 3. Austin Wells — 68 to 70. 33 stubs, target 47. 4. Yaramil Hiraldo — 64 to 66, Common to Bronze. 24 stubs, target 34. 5. Jonny DeLuca — 72 to 75, Bronze to Silver. 50 stubs, target 60. Be straight about what these are: the per-card profit is small. Ten stubs is ten stubs. The point of a budget board is what a small stub balance can do across copies, not what one card returns. For context on the calls themselves — only about 28 in 100 cards on the Radar go up in a major update at all. The cards we flag at this signal level went 80 in 100 across the three graded updates this season, n=129. That's the track record, not a promise about any one of these five. Prices read Aug 13 at 9:27 AM ET and the cheap end moves fast the day before an update — check the live board before you buy. ⚾ 👉 https://diamondops.gg/ DiamondOps is your home base — manage your cards, stubs & roster, and hit the Lab for the newest MLB The Show tools built to help you win more. Free to start. 📱 OUR iOS APPS 💎 DiamondOps The whole market in your pocket. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/diamondops/id6759801146 🎯 PitchGuessR Read your opponent's tendencies in-game so you're ready for the next pitch. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 🌀 PitchTunnels Pitch better online and stop being so readable. Tunnel your pitches so your opponent never knows what's coming. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchtunnels/id6759800610 ⚙️ Brought to you by RetroGhostLabs — a solo dev shop. 🔗 https://retroghostlabs.com/ #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #MLBTheShowTips #DiamondDynastyTips #DiamondOps #DiamondRadar #RosterUpdate
Our take
We built this board because the main one has a blind spot we kept tripping over. The main board sorts by how many stubs a call could make you, so a pricey card takes the slot even when a cheap card reads stronger. That week the strongest read on the entire Radar belonged to a card that cost less than a pack, and it never surfaced anywhere. This Short is for the player with a small stack: five cards you can fill for pocket change. The trade-off is plain. A cheap card that upgrades makes you tens of stubs, not thousands, so this is about stacking small wins rather than landing one big one.
How it played out
Three of the five went up in the August 14 update. Spencer Torkelson went 74 to 76, a point short of the call but into Silver. Samy Natera Jr. went 63 to 67 and Jonny DeLuca 72 to 76, both crossing the tier line the board named. Austin Wells and Yaramil Hiraldo did not move.
See the calls that hit in the August 14 roster updateAug 13, 2026Watch on YouTubeWe Graded Our Own Predictions. Here's How The Diamond Radar Did.
This is the Diamond Radar — what it is, what it looks like, and how it has actually done. Every night we score all 1,623 Live Series cards in MLB The Show 26 against what those players are really doing on a baseball field, and put a number on which ones the next roster update is likely to move. Here's the part nobody shows you: only about 28 in 100 cards on the Radar go up in a major update at all. So we graded ourselves. At the bottom of our signal scale, 2% of cards upgraded. At the top, 84%. The ones we flag hardest went 80 in 100. Across the three graded updates this season, 401 of our calls landed. Cristopher Sánchez returned 2,751 stubs a copy. Misiorowski 2,400. Crow-Armstrong 2,190. And the one everybody told us we had wrong — Yordan Alvarez. The comments said no chance. We didn't argue, we published a number: 35%. He went 91 to 93, past our own call, and moved 18,190 to 33,846 stubs. That's 15,656 a copy. Worth being straight about the other side: the biggest rating jump we called all season was +12 overall, and it made you 23 stubs. The biggest percentage is never the biggest payday. And it will never tell you a card is a lock. Nothing on our scale gets past the mid-80s, and anyone promising you 90% is guessing. All of it is free to look at, on the web and in the iOS app — the board, the track record, your collections and programs, OpScore rankings, and what you paid against what your cards are worth now. ⚾ 👉 https://diamondops.gg/ DiamondOps is your home base — manage your cards, stubs & roster, and hit the Lab for the newest MLB The Show tools built to help you win more. Free to start. 📱 OUR iOS APPS 💎 DiamondOps The whole market in your pocket. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/diamondops/id6759801146 🌀 PitchTunnels Pitch better online and stop being so readable. Tunnel your pitches so your opponent never knows what's coming. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchtunnels/id6759800610 🎯 PitchGuessR Read your opponent's tendencies in-game so you're ready for the next pitch. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 ⚙️ Brought to you by RetroGhostLabs — a solo dev shop. 🔗 https://retroghostlabs.com/ #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #MLBTheShowTips #DiamondDynastyTips #DiamondOps #DiamondRadar #RosterUpdate
Our take
Our grading video, made the day before the August 14 update. It sets the Radar’s record across the first three graded updates of the season against the most important number in this whole subject: how few cards upgrade at all in a given update. A hit rate means little until you know what picking at random would have scored, and this video puts the two next to each other. It also shows the uncomfortable cases, like the biggest rating jump we called paying almost nothing. The track record keeps the same numbers current, update by update.
Read the transcript
It's Shaun with DiamondOps. This is the Diamond Radar. Every night we score all 1600 live series cards in the show. Every one of them gets a signal, a trend, and a call on where it lands next. Open any card and you'll see what we think it becomes and whether it crosses a rarity line. San Diego Studio has done three updates so far this year. We track everyone on every card.
Amber is a major, in between nothing moves. Right down to the individual ratings they touched, contact, power, vision, up and down. Here's the thing though, only about 28 cards in a 100 go up at all. So, we graded ourselves. Bottom of our scale 2%, top of it 84. The number means something. Across those three updates, 401 of our calls landed. Cristopher Sánchez up 2700 stubs a copy, Misiorowski 2400, Crow-Armstrong 2200.
Biggest rating jump we called 12 points made you 23 stubs. And this one, the comments said no chance. We didn't argue, we posted 35%. He beat our own call and went up 16,000 stubs. They won't ever tell you a card is a lock. Nothing gets past the mid 80s. There's more on the site. Track every collection and what it costs to finish, down to the card. Which ones you've got, which ones you're missing.
Every program tracks so you can see what's left and what it pays. And every card ranked by OpScore for how it actually plays. Sync your inventory and see what you paid against what it's worth now. It's free to look on the web and on the iOS app. And if you want the same edge on the mound or at the plate, PitchTunnels and PitchGuessR. That's the radar.
Go see what it says about your squad.
Aug 13, 2026Watch on YouTubeThe 5 Strongest Upgrade Signals Before Friday's Roster Update | MLB The Show 26
The 5 cards the Diamond Radar rates strongest going into Friday's MLB The Show 26 roster update — buy prices, targets, and how each one is trending. Same three names keep showing up at the top of this board. That's not laziness — it's what the model has been saying all week, and Friday is when it gets graded. Here's the number that matters: only about 28 in 100 cards on the Radar upgrade in a roster update at all. The ones our model flags hardest went 80 in 100 (n=129) — about 2.8x better than chance. That's a track record for the group, not a promise about any one card. And it will never tell you a card is a lock: our hit rate climbs the whole way up the scale and then flattens out in the mid-80s, so anyone promising you 90% is guessing. Prices here were pulled Aug 12 at 7:24 AM ET and they move fast — the top card on this board traded across a 1,300-stub range this morning alone. Always check the live board before you buy. 1. Troy Melton (DET, SP) — 82 → 85, Gold to Diamond · 2,518 → 3,490 stubs 2. Jake McCarthy (COL, LF) — 79 → 82, Silver to Gold · 500 → 917 stubs 3. Payton Tolle (BOS, SP) — 78 → 81, Silver to Gold · 359 → 672 stubs 4. Cam Smith (HOU, RF) — 75 → 77, Silver · 70 → 193 stubs 5. Tyron Guerrero (BOS, RP) — 73 → 75, Bronze to Silver · 32 → 120 stubs It's a video game. Stubs are in-game currency, and card prices move with sales and demand. ⚾ Level up your MLB The Show game at 👉 https://diamondops.gg/ DiamondOps is your home base — manage your cards, stubs & roster, and hit the Lab for the newest MLB The Show tools built to help you win more. Free to start. 📱 OUR iOS APPS 🌀 PitchTunnels Pitch better online and stop being so readable. Tunnel your pitches so your opponent never knows what's coming. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchtunnels/id6759800610 🎯 PitchGuessR Read your opponent's tendencies in-game so you're ready for the next pitch. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 ⚙️ Brought to you by RetroGhostLabs — a solo dev shop. 🔗 https://retroghostlabs.com/ #Shorts #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #MLBTheShowTips #DiamondDynastyTips #DiamondOps #RosterUpdate #DiamondRadar
Our take
The point of this one was repetition. By the Wednesday before the August 14 update, the same few names had led the board for days, and we wanted to show that on purpose instead of dressing the list up with something new each morning. A model that changes its mind daily for no reason is not one to trust. The video also tries to put the board in proportion: most cards on the Radar do not move in a given update, so a strong read is a better bet than the crowd, not a sure one. Prices on a board like this swing within a single morning, so treat the stub figures as a snapshot.
How it played out
Four of the five went up in the August 14 update. Jake McCarthy went 79 to 80 and Tyron Guerrero 73 to 75, both crossing into the next tier. Troy Melton went 82 to 84, short of the Diamond line he was called to cross, and Cam Smith went 75 to 76. Payton Tolle, the strongest read of the five, did not move.
See the calls that hit in the August 14 roster updateAug 12, 2026Watch on YouTube4 Cards Jumping a Tier This Friday | MLB The Show 26
The 4 cards crossing a tier line in Friday's MLB The Show 26 roster update — buy prices, targets, and how likely each one is. Only 23 cards on the Diamond Radar cross a tier line this window. Three go Diamond. Here are the four you can still afford — and the full board is on the site. The Radar re-scores every night, so check it before you buy. ⚾ Level up your MLB The Show game at 👉 https://diamondops.gg/ DiamondOps is your home base — manage your cards, stubs & roster, and hit the Lab for the newest MLB The Show tools built to help you win more. Free to start. 📱 OUR iOS APPS 🎯 PitchGuessR Read your opponent's tendencies in-game so you're ready for the next pitch. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 🌀 PitchTunnels Pitch better online and stop being so readable. Tunnel your pitches so your opponent never knows what's coming. https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchtunnels/id6759800610 ⚙️ Brought to you by RetroGhostLabs — a solo dev shop. 🔗 https://retroghostlabs.com/ #Shorts #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #MLBTheShowTips #DiamondDynastyTips #DiamondOps #RosterUpdate #DiamondRadar
Our take
A tier line is where quick-sell value steps up, so it is where a small rating change turns into a real price change. That is why this Short skips the cards that only gain a point inside the same color and goes straight to the ones predicted to cross. A few of that week’s crossers were headed to Diamond and priced out of reach for a lot of players, so the video sticks to four you could still buy without emptying your stack. It is a short list on purpose. The full set of crossers sits on the live board, which is re-scored every night, so today’s list may not match the one in the video.
Aug 11, 2026Watch on YouTubeWhich Cards Are GUARANTEED to Upgrade Friday? — MLB The Show 26 Roster Update
Nothing. That's the honest answer — not one card on our board clears a 90% chance of upgrading in Friday's roster update. So here are the five with the most upside instead, and exactly what the model thinks each one does. Roster update drops Friday, August 14 at 12pm ET. 1. Hunter Greene (CIN, SP) — 85 → 87 · 47% chance · 3,366 → 4,392 stubs 2. Francisco Lindor (NYM, SS) — 88 → 89 · 38% chance · 6,553 → 7,431 stubs 3. Nick Kurtz (OAK, 1B) — 86 → 87 · 38% chance · 3,890 → 4,732 stubs 4. Chase Burns (CIN, SP) — 85 → 86 · 38% chance · 3,387 → 3,863 stubs 5. Griffin Jax (TB, SP) — 81 → 82 · 47% chance · 676 → 792 stubs What "boom or bust" means here: these are the cards with real upside that are also genuinely uncertain. Every percentage is our model's estimate of the chance that card's overall improves in the next update — not a promise, and we'd rather show you the number than pretend it's higher than it is. Two Reds starters lead the board, and Griffin Jax is the cheap one at 676 stubs. It's a video game. Stubs are in-game currency, and card prices move with sales and demand. 💬 Which one are you grabbing before Friday — or is the whole board a trap? 👇 🌀 PitchTunnels — pitch better online and stop being so readable. Tunnel your pitches so your opponent never knows what's coming: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchtunnels/id6759800610 🎯 PitchGuessR — read your opponent's tendencies in-game so you're ready for the next pitch: https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 💎 Full live board, updated daily — manage your roster, stubs and OpScore across web + app: 🌐 https://diamondops.gg 📱 https://apps.apple.com/us/app/diamondops/id6759801146 🔔 New picks every day until the update drops Friday. #Shorts #MLBTheShow26 #MLBTheShow #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #DiamondOps
Our take
The title asks a question we get every week, and the honest answer is that no such card exists. Nothing on our board gets anywhere near certain, and we would rather say so up front than sell a list of locks. So the video turns the question around: if nothing is safe, which cards have enough upside to be worth a coin flip? All five were expensive Golds and Diamonds with odds well under even. That is the kind of bet you size small, using only stubs you can afford to watch sit still.
How it played out
Four of the five were graded in the August 14 window, and none of them moved: Francisco Lindor stayed 88, Nick Kurtz 86, Chase Burns 85 and Griffin Jax 81. That is what odds under even look like across a handful of cards. Hunter Greene was not in that window’s graded set.
See the calls that hit in the August 14 roster updateAug 9, 2026Watch on YouTubeYou said "no path to 93" on Yordan. The update dropped — he's a 93. #shorts
Called Yordan Álvarez to a 93 as a MOONSHOT — 35% odds, never a lock. The update landed and he's a 93. The card ran from about 17K stubs to a 44K peak; it's cooled to ~38K since, still nearly double where the radar flagged it Monday. This isn't a hot take — Diamond Radar reads how SDS actually upgrades cards, trained on their real upgrade history. Odds, not opinions. 🧾 Nailed it or got lucky? Tell me below 👇 ▶ diamondops.gg — the radar learns from every update it grades. Diamond Radar is a forecast model — it prices the odds, it doesn't promise the upgrade. Prices are snapshots and keep moving. 🎯 PitchGuessR (free): https://apps.apple.com/us/app/pitchguessr/id6758683308 #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts
Our take
The second of two Shorts answering the comments from the week before the July 16 update, when people told us Yordan Alvarez had no way to reach 93. We never called it likely either. We had it as a long shot and said so. What this Short is really about is the gap between a long shot and a bad call. A long shot that lands does not make the model a genius, and one that missed would not have made it broken. The only fair test is how a whole board of calls does across an update, which is what the track record is for.
How it played out
Graded in the July 16 window: Yordan Alvarez went from 91 to 93, a hit, from a Diamond Radar score of 34. The video quotes 35%, the figure it says we posted before the update; the graded window records 34.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateRead the transcript
You said there was no path to 93 for Yordan. Splits cooked, no chance. The update dropped, he's a 93. I called it a moon shot, 35% never a lock, it hit 93 and the card ran from 17,000 stubs to a 44K peak. This isn't a hot take, the radar reads how SDS actually upgrades cards. Odds, not opinions. Nailed it or lucky? Tell me below. Then grab PitchGuessR and read your opponent before that big bad swings.
Free on iOS. The radar learns from every update. Follow it at DiamondOps.
Jul 18, 2026Watch on YouTubeYou said "no way Yordan goes up." The update dropped. I was right. #shorts #mlbtheshow26
You called me out on Yordan — he went UP 2 and the card gained ~10K stubs. So we graded EVERY prediction we made this window — the 4 daily boards AND the weekly Report, moonshots included — against SDS's own changelog. No edits, no deletes. 10 NAILED the exact number or beat it (including the Yordan MOONSHOT firing at exactly 93). 6 more went up, just shy of the projection — we say so right on the board, and they still made you stubs. 4 missed, and 3 of those were posted at ≤58% odds ON SCREEN. Steven Okert went 138 → 900 stubs (+552%). Foster Griffin +494%. Mike Paredes +142%. Duran jumped Gold→Diamond exactly as flagged. The flips board went 5-for-5. And if you'd bought all 24 posted calls — misses and moonshots included? Still up +27%. Rico Garcia at 85% didn't move — we own that one. 🧾 ▶ diamondops.gg — the radar learns from every update it grades. Follow it all season. Diamond Radar is a forecast model — it prices the odds, it doesn't promise the upgrade. Prices are early post-update snapshots and can keep moving. #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts #stubs Also on the apple app store NOW!
Our take
The first answer to the Yordan comments, posted the day after the July 16 update. The description below the video walks through every call we posted that window, misses included, and that is the part worth your time rather than the headline. Being right about one loud card is easy to brag about and tells you very little. What tells you something is the cards that stayed put sitting next to the ones that moved, and for this window that list lives in the video’s own description. The track record keeps the graded side for every update since: the calls that hit, and how many of the window’s graded calls that was.
How it played out
Yordan Alvarez went 91 to 93 in the July 16 update. Across the whole window, 124 of the 226 graded calls were hits.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateJul 17, 2026Watch on YouTubeThe radar's FINAL 2 calls before today's roster update — one is still 424 stubs #shorts
Update drops TODAY. Only TWO cards clear the radar’s lock bar this morning — Jhoan Duran (69%, Gold→Diamond) and Justin Wrobleski (68%, 80→83, still just 424 stubs). We flagged Duran yesterday at ~1,449 — he’s 2,914 now. The market moves fast; Wrobleski is the one it hasn’t priced yet. 🔒 ▶ diamondops.gg Diamond Radar is a forecast model — it prices the odds, it doesn’t promise the upgrade. Forecasts, not guarantees. #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts
Our take
Posted the morning of the July 16 update, when only two cards still cleared the bar we keep for our strongest calls. One had been on our boards the day before, and its price had roughly doubled overnight: the market had read the same signal. The other was still cheap. That contrast is the whole video. By update morning, the card everyone has spotted is usually priced in, and whatever value remains sits with the one nobody has bid up yet.
How it played out
Both went up in the July 16 update. Jhoan Duran went 83 to 85, crossing from Gold to Diamond as called, and Justin Wrobleski went 80 to 82, one point short of the 83 he was called for.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateJul 16, 2026Watch on YouTube5 cards about to JUMP A TIER before tomorrow's roster update — one's Gold→Diamond #shorts
The roster update hits tomorrow (Thu, 12pm ET). These 5 are the highest-ODDS cards crossing a tier line — headlined by Jhoan Duran at 72% to jump Gold→Diamond, underpriced by ~1,575 stubs, and Troy Melton at 91% Silver→Gold. Odds, not guarantees — read the confidence word on each. 📈 ▶ diamondops.gg Diamond Radar is a forecast model — it prices the odds, it doesn’t promise the upgrade. #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts
Our take
Five cards called to cross a tier line in the July 16 update, sorted by odds rather than by profit. We order this kind of list that way because a tier jump is the call that moves a price the most, and when it misses, the card simply stays where it was. Reading the odds first keeps you honest about which of the five is a real expectation and which is a hope. Every card on screen shows its own odds, and that number matters more than its place in the list.
How it played out
The two cards the video led with both crossed in the July 16 update: Jhoan Duran went 83 to 85, Gold to Diamond, and Troy Melton went 79 to 82, Silver to Gold. The other three cards are not named anywhere we can grade, so they are left out here.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateJul 15, 2026Watch on YouTube5 cheap Diamond Dynasty FLIPS before the roster update — one's a 91% Silver→Gold #shorts
The roster update hits Thursday. These 5 are the highest-ODDS flips with profit still on the table — headlined by Troy Melton at 91% to jump Silver→Gold (buy ~292, model fair value ~904 stubs). Odds, not guarantees — read the confidence word on each. 💸 ▶ diamondops.gg Diamond Radar is a forecast model — it prices the odds, it doesn't promise the upgrade. #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts
Our take
A flip list rather than an upgrade list. These cards were picked for the gap between what they cost and what the model expected them to be worth after the update, among the calls with the best odds. Cheap cards suit this because a small rating move can lift a low price a long way in percentage terms, even when the stub total stays modest. If you are starting from a thin stack, this is the kind of board that adds up over a season.
How it played out
Troy Melton, the card the video led with, went 79 to 82 in the July 16 update and crossed from Silver to Gold. The other four cards are not named anywhere we can grade, so they are left out here.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateJul 14, 2026Watch on YouTubeROSTER UPDATE FLYERS — 5 COIN-FLIP gambles (NOT predictions) 🚨 #shorts
⚠️ TRIGGER WARNING: these are GAMBLES, not predictions and not locks. If a missed pick sends you, this isn't your video. 😅 📈 What's a "flyer"? In stock-market talk, "taking a flyer" = a small, high-risk speculative bet with low odds but a big payoff if it hits. You go in KNOWING it probably won't land — only risk what you can afford to lose. That's exactly what these are. 5 marquee cards the Diamond Radar gives a 30–58% shot at upgrading in Thursday's roster update — every one projects a real overall bump, but the odds are coin-flips and long shots on purpose. If they hit, the profit is huge (Yordan +10k). The predicted % is on every card. Forecasts, not guarantees — markets move (flash/stub sales shift prices). Not financial advice. ▶ Full live board: https://diamondops.gg #MLBTheShow26 #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #shorts
Our take
This one is labelled as gambles on purpose, and it is the only video in the feed that is. Each card had a real projected bump but odds around a coin flip or worse, and we wanted a separate place for that kind of bet so nobody mistook it for a prediction. A flyer is how you risk a few stubs on a big name without pretending it is likely. This page does not score them as calls. If one hits, it was a good gamble, not proof of anything.
Jul 13, 2026Watch on YouTube🚀 2 MOONSHOT flips in MLB The Show 26 #mlbtheshow26 #pitchrecognition #gaming #diamondops
🚀 2 MOONSHOT flips in MLB The Show 26 — Soto 16K→est. 34-54K if he upgrades. Full board 👉 https://diamondops.gg/links #MLBTheShow26 #Shorts #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #Stubs
Our take
Despite the title, this cut of the July Report is the blue-chip dips segment: two established Diamonds trading at around half of what we thought they were worth. A dip is the opposite bet from a moonshot. It needs no upgrade to pay off, only a price that fell too far drifting back toward where comparable cards trade. That makes it lower risk but slower, and the market can take more than one update to correct. The full Report sets all four kinds of call side by side.
Read the transcript
And next up we have the blue chip dips, lower risk, real comps, just underpriced right now. So let's get into it. So our first dip we have is Byron Buxton. Buy the dip around 8,000, his fair value is near 17, and 9,000 stub gap on a proven diamond. Okay, for our next dip we have Zack Wheeler. He's the same deal, 8,000 now, 17's fair value, grab it before it corrects.
Want the full breakdown? The complete video is linked in my bio, go check it out.
Jul 10, 2026Watch on YouTube
Show 4 moreShow fewer
🪙 2 PENNY STOCKS that could double in MLB The Show 26 #mlbtheshow26 #gaming #mlbtheshowtips
🪙 2 PENNY STOCKS that could double — Alonso 452→1.4K, Varland 554→1.4K. Cheap flips before they pop 👉 https://diamondops.gg/links #MLBTheShow26 #Shorts #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #Stubs
Our take
The penny stocks segment of the July 9 Report, cut down to a Short. The idea is a cheap card the market has not noticed, bought in quantity, where a single bump can double the price. Two Gold cards under 500 stubs each made the list. These are price calls more than rating calls. The bet is that the market reprices them, and an upgrade is just the likeliest reason it would. Buying several copies spreads the risk that one of them stalls.
How it played out
Both cards were also on the July 16 board, and both went up: Pete Alonso 80 to 81 and Louis Varland 80 to 82. The window grades the rating move, not the price targets in the video.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateRead the transcript
And finally, we get into the penny stubs. Cheap cards that have room to double. So, our first penny stub card is Pete Alonso. He's under 500 stubs right now. I target him near 1,400. He's a clean 2x'er. He's going to literally double. And our next penny stub is a Louis Varland. The same thing. Buy under 500, double it to 1,400. Want the full breakdown? The complete video is linked in my bio.
Go check it out.
Jul 9, 2026Watch on YouTube🚀 2 MOONSHOT flips in MLB The Show 26 #mlbtheshow26 #pitchrecognition
🚀 2 MOONSHOT flips in MLB The Show 26 — Soto 16K→est. 34-54K if he upgrades. Full board 👉 https://diamondops.gg/links#MLBTheShow26 #Shorts #DiamondDynasty #TheShow26 #Stubs
Our take
The moonshots segment of the July 9 Report. Two of the most expensive live cards in the game, each priced as if it would stay put, and each with a ceiling far above that if a 93 came through. We said in the video that the upside figures were rough, because so few live cards trade that high that there is little to compare against. A moonshot is a big bet on a small chance, and it belongs in a small corner of a stack.
How it played out
Yordan Alvarez went 91 to 93 in the July 16 update, graded a hit. Juan Soto was not on that window’s graded board.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateRead the transcript
Okay, so now the stub market, where the big names are trading a little undervalued. There's three tiers, three risk levels. First, the moonshots. They're high risk, high reward. Then we have the stars with the huge payoff, but only if they hit their next upgrade. We have Juan Soto. Buy him at around 60 16,000, I think he's at right now. If he pops to a 93, we're estimating somewhere between 34 and 54,000 stubs.
To be honest with you, that's a rough estimate. There are many There aren't many live series cards trading that high yet. So it's a guess, but big if, but that's the moonshot. And it's our same story with the next moonshot, Yordan Alvarez. He's around 22,000. If he upgrades, we're looking at roughly a 29 to 41,000 stub increase. Again, this is an estimate. The market's thin that high up, not a guarantee, but the ceiling is massive.
Want the full breakdown? The complete video is linked in my bio. Go check it out.
Jul 9, 2026Watch on YouTubeThe Diamond Radar Report — MLB The Show 26 Market Movers, Moonshots & Penny Stocks
The Diamond Radar Report scans the MLB The Show 26 market so you don't have to. This week: 5 cards our model says are about to pop, 2 moonshot flips, 2 blue-chip dips on sale, and 2 penny stocks that could double. Buy low, sell high, stack stubs. 💎 📈 TOP 5 ON THE RADAR (predicted OVR + price jumps) 1. Cam Schlittler (NYY) — 85 → 88 · ~3.5K → 8.2K 2. Jacob Misiorowski (MIL) — 85 → 88 · ~4.9K → 8.2K 3. Payton Tolle (BOS) — 77 → 80 · 190 → 394 4. Bryan Baker (TB) — 79 → 82 · 205 → 860 5. Juan Morillo (ARI) — 71 → 74 · 49 → 62 🚀 MOONSHOTS (long-shot upside if the upgrade hits) • Juan Soto — 16K → est. 34K–54K if he upgrades to 93 • Yordan Alvarez — 22K → est. 29K–41K if he upgrades to 93 (Rough estimates — thin market, few live comps this high.) 📉 DIPS ON SALE (blue chips down, model says buy) • Byron Buxton — 8.0K → 17K target • Zack Wheeler — 8.4K → 17K target 🪙 PENNY STOCKS (could double) • Pete Alonso — 452 → 1.4K • Louis Varland — 554 → 1.4K ⚠️ Not financial advice — it's a video game. Predictions are model estimates on a thin, fast-moving market. Prices move; do your own homework before you flip. 🎯 Want the live board, updated daily? → https://diamondops.gg 🔮 Predict the next pitch and hunt your own flips with PitchGuessR (free): [app link] 👇 Which flip are you making first? Agree or disagree with the board — drop it in the comments. 🔔 Subscribe for the Diamond Radar Report every week + daily market breakdowns. #MLBTheShow26 #MLBTheShow #DiamondDynasty #MarketWatch #TheShow26 #Stubs #DiamondOps
Our take
The first full episode of the Diamond Radar Report, and still the best single place to see how we think about a week of the market. It runs through four kinds of call in order of risk: the top five upgrade reads, two moonshots, two blue-chip dips and two penny stocks. Watching them side by side is the useful part, because each one wins in a different way and fails in a different way. Three of the Shorts on this page are cuts of this video. Use the chapters to jump to the segment you care about.
How it played out
Four of the top five were graded in the July 16 window, and all four went up: Cam Schlittler 85 to 87, Jacob Misiorowski 85 to 89, Payton Tolle 77 to 78 and Bryan Baker 79 to 83, Silver to Gold. Juan Morillo was not in that window’s graded set.
See the calls that hit in the July 16 roster updateChapters
- 0:03What this week’s Report covers
- 0:20No. 5: Juan Morillo
- 0:37No. 4: Bryan Baker
- 0:57No. 3: Payton Tolle
- 1:16No. 2: Jacob Misiorowski
- 1:40No. 1: Cam Schlittler
- 2:08Moonshots: Juan Soto and Yordan Alvarez
- 3:03Blue-chip dips: Byron Buxton and Zack Wheeler
- 3:28Penny stocks: Pete Alonso and Louis Varland
- 3:52Wrap-up
Read the transcript
Hey guys, welcome to Diamond Radar Report, the show that scans the entire market and tells you what's about to pop, what's on sale right now. I ran the numbers this morning and we've got five cards the model says are about to get upgraded, plus a stub market full of stars trading under fair value. Let's get into it.
Okay, starting at number five, we have Juan Morillo of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Uh, he has an 83% shot of climbing from a 71 to a 74. He is a penny flyer at under 50 stubs, so the margins razor thin, more of a lottery ticket than a flip.
Okay, at number four, we have Bryan Baker of the Tampa Bay Rays. Uh, he has an 83% chance to jump from a 79 silver to an 82 gold and he's been filthy lately, a zero ERA and a point three free whip. Buy around 270, fair value near 860. He's a clean flip.
And coming in at number three, we have Payton Tolle of the Boston Red Sox. He has an 84% to go silver to gold. Uh, he's a 77 up to an 80. Uh, he has zero earned runs, nine punch outs per nine and he's dirt cheap. Grab him for 120 stubs, target near 400.
And coming in at number two, we have Jacob Misiorowski or the Miz of the Milwaukee Brewer Brewers. He has an 87% chance to climb to an 88 diamond. Uh, his stuff is unreal, almost 16 strike outs per nine with a point six seven whip. Buy around 4300, he's worth over 8000 at least. Uh, nearly 4000 stubs of upside on him.
And coming in at the top of the board, number one, Cam Schlittler of the New York Yankees. Uh, he has an 87% chance to hit an 88 diamond. Uh, he's been a must see this season. Uh, he has a 1.13 ERA, a point five oh whip. Uh, you can still get him for around 3,400. His fair value is at least over 8,000 if he upgrades. That's almost a 4,800 stub swing buy of the week.
Okay, so now the stub market, uh, where the big names are trading a little undervalued. There's three tiers, three risk levels. First, the moonshots. They're high risk, high reward. Then we have the stars with the huge payoff, but only if they hit their next upgrade. We have Juan Soto. Buy him at around 60 16,000, I think he's at right now. Uh, if he pops to a 93, uh, we're estimating somewhere between 34 and 54,000 stubs.
Uh, to be honest with you, that's a rough estimate. There are many There aren't many live series cards trading that high yet. Uh, so it's a guess, but big if, but that's the moonshot. And it's our same story with the next moonshot, uh, Yordan Alvarez. Uh, he's around 22,000. Uh, if he upgrades, we're looking at roughly a 29 to 41,000 stub increase. Uh, again, this is an estimate.
The market's thin that high up, not a guarantee, but the ceiling is massive.
And next up, we have the blue chip dips. Lower risk, real comps, just underpriced right now. So, let's get into it. So, our first dip we have is, uh, Byron Buxton. Buy the dip around 8,000. His fair value is near 17. A 9,000 stub gap on a proven diamond. Okay, for our next dip, we have Zack Wheeler. He's the same deal. 8,000 now, 17's fair value. Grab it before it corrects.
And finally, we get into the penny stubs. Cheap cards that have room to double. So, our first penny stub card is Pete Alonso. He's under 500 stubs right now. Uh, I target him near 1,400. He's a clean 2x-er. He's going to at least double. And our next penny, uh, stub is Louis Varland. The same thing. Buy under 500, double it to 1,400.
So, that's it for our weekly market update. Um, Um which one are you buying? Drop your picks in the comments below. Let me know where I'm right, where I'm wrong. Let me know if you think Soto has potential to be a big moonshot or what. I read every comment. I try to respond. Um be sure to subscribe for more content. Don't miss out on the market. So, that's it.
Every uh price and prediction you saw comes straight from the live Diamond Radar at diamondops.gg. Full rankings, radar, packs, pulls, collections, inventory management, you name it. Every market update, every minute. Check it out. diamondops.gg. I'm out. See you in the next one.
Jul 9, 2026Watch on YouTubeDIAMOND RADAR = FREE STUBS MARKET MONDAY!!!
Market Mondays: How I Use Diamond Radar to Print Stubs in MLB The Show 26 Diamond Radar is the market intelligence tool built into DiamondOps — it predicts which Live Series cards SDS is about to upgrade before the roster update drops. In this video I break down exactly how to read it, what every column means, and how I use it to find investments before the price moves. What's covered: - What Diamond Radar is and how it actually works - Breaking down every column: Signal, Tier Jump, Predicted Overall, Downgrade, Net Outlook, Post Upgrade, Prod, and Value Gap - How to filter and sort to find the best opportunities - Cards I'm currently watching --- Try Diamond Radar free → https://diamondops.gg DiamondOps is a market intelligence platform for MLB The Show Diamond Dynasty. Diamond Radar scores every Live Series card nightly using real MLB stats and predicts SDS roster upgrades before they happen — so you can buy in before the price spikes. Also includes OpScore rankings, flip tools, portfolio valuation, and more. --- New Market Mondays every week. Like and subscribe to stay ahead of the market.
Our take
The first Diamond Radar video we made, recorded in early June during the site’s early-access month, and still the longest walkthrough of the board on the channel. It goes column by column through what each number means, then filters the board down to tier jumps and talks through a handful of cards. Parts of it have aged: the model has been retrained several times since, and the early-access offer is over. The reasoning has not changed, which is why it stays here. If a column on the board confuses you, the chapter on reading the board still explains it.
How it played out
Graded in the June 12 window, which hit on 145 of 221 calls. Jordan Walker, the card the video warned was already overpriced, went 73 to 78 and crossed from Bronze to Silver anyway.
See the calls that hit in the June 12 roster updateRead the transcript
Hey guys, this is Shaun from DiamondOps.gg and uh what we're going to do here is like a little quick market Monday update kind of looking at our prediction engine for what we think are going to be possible upgrades by SDS. They do their next roster update. Basically give an overview of the the functionality of the Diamond Radar uh that's part of DiamondOps.gg. Uh, and just so you know, DiamondOps.gg is an MLB The Show Diamond Dynasty kind of uh, inventory stub uh, collections management, inventory management, roster management type site.
Uh, and we just kicked off uh, early access for the month of June. So, right now it's free to sign up. If you sign up for the whole month of June, you got all the pro features. Uh, a lot of new things are coming out. I suggest you check it out. Again, it's diamondops.gg.
Um, so just a quick overview. Basically what uh the Diamond Radar is is it's our prediction engine for live series cards. Kind of looking at our predictions for the next SDS roster upgrades. So you can kind of get in early um determine what investments to get into so you know you can flip some cards uh and finish those live series collections. But I'll go through all that. Basically what our prediction engine does, it's looking at historic data.
So what SDS has done in the past based on how it looks at, you know, going from golds to diamonds, you know, silvers to golds and all those things and kind of look at what attributes we think they typically look at based on how a player has played over the, you know, the past 30 days to 60 days. kind of takes that as a whole and tries to predict by looking at past performance of what SDS has done and kind of get us a a a good overview of where we think the market's going in terms of who's going to get a roster upgrade next or not.
It's a prediction engine, so we're, you know, as the season progresses, it's going to get better. Um, kind of looking at, you know, from year to year, things could fluctuate the way they look at attributes and how they upgrade attributes. And, you know, there's a lot more details into that. And I'm not going to go into the whole system, but you know, like you're looking at how players are performing on the field.
So, we're pulling live stats nightly. Uh, and we have a internal process that looks at that and then compares it to the card's current attributes, um, where it has room for growth and kind of trying to predict where we think SDS could go or if there's even room for this card to get an upgrade. Um, and obviously it, you know, as you progress up going from gold to diamond, it, you know, it's a lot tighter in what attributes you can upgrade.
So, it's a lot harder to predict. But our hopes is as the season progresses, we kind of get a feel for how SDS is, um, doing upgrades and handing them out. um and trying to predict, you know, what are good cards that potentially could be upgraded on the next update that could jump tiers or things that are underinvested or overinvested. So, you're not really investing in something that uh already be oversold.
Like, you have to kind of take all that into account. So, we kind of put all that data here so you can look at it quickly and say, is this a good investment? Like, is there room for them to grow? Is there room for them to go to the next level based on their current performance? The system's smart and it kind of gets smarter as the season progresses.
So, basically what we did is we started with uh the looking at the historical upgrades from SDS in 2025 and that's what we used to base our engine on uh for the start of the season. And now as it goes on, every upgrade the system's going to get smarter. it it's going to take into account statistically the players every night. Um so you can come here and see cards that are oversold, undersold, uh and cards you should be looking at and investing.
So basically what's happening is every night uh we're pulling real MLB uh stats um from the MLB stats API, compare those stats with the cards current attributes and the how the players are performing and we come up with a signal. This looks across multiple time windows since SDS roster updates. You know, we look at the past 30 days. We look at full season to date windows since last update and and we kind of weigh those all differently in in our prediction engine.
Obviously, like I said before, it gets smarter over time uh with weights that were built from last year's SDS history. Um after, you know, two or three more updates from SDS, it's going to get smarter. It's going to learn. It's going to rewe itself and be able to recalibrate during the season on a nightly run based on how SDS has typically gone with their updates in the past.
So basically after a uh SDS a major roster update happens, it looks at its performance and tries to determine um how it can get smarter like what did it miss, what didn't it miss, what was it right on, and kind of fine-tune that waiting. So, every single after every single roster update, it's going to tune itself again. And again, it's processing nightly based on stats. It's going to constantly improve uh over time.
So, what I'm going to look at here is basically the Diamond Radar um app here. And if we look at this, let's go over some stuff. Um you know, obviously we have the players, their positions, their current overall, and then so let's go over some of these uh things real quick um in the table. And that's a signal. So the signal is basically on a zero to one our confidence that the card will get an upgrade on the next update.
So that's like the big number you kind of look at it. Is it likely to get an upgrade or how are we how how are we viewing that signal that upgrade signal? And then we have our tier jump. So this is another quick way to kind of like filter out cards instead of looking at cards that maybe you know these lower-end cards. Yeah, they're probably going to, you know, have the ability to bump up significantly, but is that going to make you any money?
So, it's taking that into account. So, you can look at tier jumps. Um, maybe you don't have a lot ton of money to invest at first, so you want to look at the cheaper cards. Then, you can kind of filter it down from there. So, those are our our predicted tier jumps for these cards. Then, we have the predictive overall, which is our prediction of what the new overall for the card would be.
So like our prediction here would be this is going to go from a 62 to a 65. So it's a three point overall upgrade. Then we have a a downgrade signal which just really we're just kind of showing you it it plays into in the back end how we're coming up with the signal. You know we have an upgrade signal and a downgrade signal. And then we kind of come up with between those two.
We predict the signal or our net outlook for the card. And that brings into the net outlook, which is basically it combines a signal and the downgrade into one read. So you're getting upgrade downgrade mixed in. And it's basically a your quick gut check column. Like you're going to look at this and be like, okay, so this card is, you know, has a high probability or our net outlook is that it's more than likely has room for an upgrade by SDS.
This is a post upgrade. So, this is like the buy now price would be the card's current price on the market, which is updated every 60 seconds on the uh pro plan. And there's a slight delay on the free accounts, but again, that's going to show you the buy now currently. And then what you're going to see is the postupgrade price. So, that's our predicted price that the card could potentially go up to if it is upgraded.
And then we're going to show you the estimated profitability of it. like how much are you looking on if this card does get upgraded at its current price, how much you're looking to make on that card. And then we have the probability which is the supply metrics which is basically a low probability and a rising signal equals the price moves. The higher probability means the slower or softer movement in the price and the lower probability means that there's uh more fluctuation in that price.
Then we have the value gap which is the current market price versus what the radar thinks the card is going to actually be worth if the upgrade goes through. So those are just quick again quick badges. You can say hey this is a strong buy. You're looking at you know 21 stub uh profit on that card. You're going to look at the signal. You're going to look at the net outlook.
The probability tells you just how fast the market will react to the the player's current performance. Uh the value gap tells you if it's already priced in or not. So you're looking at like has the market already priced in that this card has a high probability of being upgraded. Uh obviously you want to stay away from those those type of cards.
So instead of me rambling, let's show it. And you can come up here and we can do all tier jumps. So we can filter out all the cards that we think are going to be upgraded but strictly based on their tier jumps. Um you can break down by the tier jump you want to see. Uh here what we've done is we kind of filtered out the cards by the predicted tier jumps.
Um since these give us a little more quick value. Uh and then we can kind of look through here and like look here's a common of a bronze. You know we're looking at a potential of the probability is this card is going to get an upgrade and you're looking at potentially after tax making 18 stubs per per card. And it's just showing you like is this a strong buy?
like is this card oversold or not? Uh and so you can see like you're going to get different fluualities. Like this is a common of bronze. You're looking at 21 stubs potentially. This is a bronze to a silver, right? You're looking at this is another strong buy. You're looking at 32 stubs per card. Now, I know these are kind of smaller numbers, but when you don't have a lot of stubs and you got to make money, you do you invest in some of these cards, you know, that's all eventually going to add up.
Um and then you can see some of these other bigger ones like the silver and gold here. this this card you're looking at potential of making 351 stubs after tax if this card gets an upgrade. So you can you know this is really a way to kind of quick glance and I'm going to see. So like look at this. So you're getting some of these other cards here like Jordan Walker.
He has a 69% likelihood of being upgraded, going from a bronze to a silver, but as you can see th this he's overpriced, meaning that if he does upgrade, you're not really going to make any money. He's kind of oversold at this point. Um, so that's not a good card to look at. And then you can look at cards like look like Nick. Um, again, 66% likelihood that he's going to jump from gold to diamond.
uh we're predicting him going from an 85 to an 88. And then you can see that, you know, if that does happen per card, you're looking at 3,000 300 stub potential. And that's going to fluctuate. That's going to change nightly. Um and you're going to be able to see in real time like, is this a card that I want to invest in or not? Um and here's like here's another big one.
This is another gold to diamond. you know, we're predicting an to an 885 to an 88. And we're looking at a potential profit per card of 4,000 stubs. Um, and again, this this is changing nightly. It's run the the process is running nightly. It's learning. It's getting smarter. The whole goal of this is to have a predictive tool that makes itself smarter and is self-learning as it as it goes on.
and we kind of track that and find out like was there a blind spot in its last prediction model that we need to fine-tune and it automatically fine-tunes itself as the season goes on.
So this is again just a quick glance at the diamond radar that we currently have right now. Um just looking at some of the the bigger tier jumps cards that that we're predicting could potentially happen. Um so really just go to diamondops.gg, check us out, check out the diamond radar. Again, the accounts are free and uh when you sign up for the free account for the whole month of June, uh you're going to get all the pro features.
So, um you're going to be able to check out Diamond Radar and see this fluctuate by day, see what kind of cards are out there to invest in. Uh so, you can start making some investments into the uh next potential SDS roster update, which I'm not sure when the attribute update is happening. I'm not sure if they put out a date yet, but it's usually a couple four or five weeks sometimes in between.
I'm assuming it must be pretty soon. So, get on this uh for June. Check it out. Uh let us know what you think. Um and again, we have a whole bunch of other features here that I'm hopefully going to make some other videos over the coming weeks kind of going through some of these things. Uh, but check out the site, check out Diamond Radar, and uh hopefully use it to potentially finish up live series collections um as the season progresses.
That's it for now. See you next time. Thanks.
Jun 8, 2026Watch on YouTube
What these calls are, and what they are not
The Radar gives probabilities, not guarantees. San Diego Studio sets the ratings and does not publish its choices ahead of time, so a strong score can miss and a long shot can land. Over a season the board has done better than picking cards at random, and the track record shows by how much, one update at a time. That is a claim about the board as a group, never about any single card.
Prices in a video are a snapshot of the day it was made. By the time you watch, the market may already have priced the call in, or moved for reasons that have nothing to do with ratings, like a new pack or a stub sale. Check the card’s live page before you buy.
Stubs are in-game currency, and none of this is financial advice. It is a model of a video game market, built by one person who also plays the game. If something here looks wrong, tell us.
Never miss a call
Diamond Radar posts its market calls and flip shorts before every roster update. Subscribe so they land in your feed.